McDonald's Corporation (MCD) Stock Analysis
Over the past 10 years, McDonald's (MCD) earnings per share (EPS) grew 9.6% a year, revenue grew 0.6% a year and free cash flow grew 4.3% a year, with an average return on invested capital (ROIC) of 17.3%. MCD stock trades at $242.97, a P/E of 19.7, below its historical average of 26.0. Analysts' average 12-month price target is $284.70 (+17.2%).
McDonald's Corporation operates and licenses its renowned fast-food chain worldwide, with a significant presence in both the United States and international markets.
Exhibit A Growth Dossier
| Metric | 10yr | 5yr | 1yr | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Book Value/Share GrowthBV/S Improving, but still negative | -13.3% | 15.2% | 62.6% | C |
| EPS GrowthEPS | 9.6% | 13.6% | 5.3% | B |
| Revenue GrowthRevenue | 0.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | C |
| Cash Flow GrowthCash Flow | 4.3% | 9.2% | 12.5% | B |
| ROICROIC | 17.3% | 17.2% | 17.4% | A |
Exhibit B Valuation Ledger
- Current EPS
- $12.35
- Historical Avg P/E
- 26.0
- Future P/E (used for sticker price)
- Projected EPS (10yr)
- Sticker Price (10yr)
- Price for 15% Annual Return
- Expected Annual Return
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Not investment advice — a structured read of historical fundamentals, not a forecast or recommendation. Always do your own research.
Exhibit C Raw Data (last 10 years)
| Metric | Trend | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | TTM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Book Value / ShareBV/S | $7.50 | -$2.56 | -$4.01 | -$7.97 | -$10.73 | -$10.43 | -$6.12 | -$8.10 | -$6.43 | -$5.26 | -$2.50 | -$1.44 | |
| Basic EPSEPS | $4.82 | $5.49 | $6.43 | $7.61 | $7.95 | $6.35 | $10.11 | $8.39 | $11.63 | $11.45 | $12.00 | $12.35 | |
| RevenueRevenue | $25,413,000,000 | $24,621,900,000 | $22,820,400,000 | $21,025,200,000 | $21,076,500,000 | $19,207,800,000 | $23,222,900,000 | $23,182,600,000 | $25,493,700,000 | $25,920,000,000 | $26,885,000,000 | $27,703,000,000 | |
| Free Cash FlowCash Flow | $4,725,200,000 | $4,238,500,000 | $3,697,500,000 | $4,225,000,000 | $5,728,400,000 | $4,624,400,000 | $7,101,500,000 | $5,487,500,000 | $7,254,500,000 | $6,672,000,000 | $7,186,000,000 | $7,761,000,000 | |
| ROIC (%)ROIC | 14.1% | 19.1% | 18.7% | 22.4% | 15.3% | 11.4% | 16.9% | 15.6% | 18.0% | 17.9% | 17.4% | — |
The exact underlying data used to compute the growth rates and grades above. The highlighted TTM column is the trailing twelve months through the most recently reported quarter.
Ticker INVESTigator Price Target
Analyst Data
Price Target
Where the stock trades today vs. the range of 12-month price targets from covering analysts.
63 firms rate it — 36 buy, 25 hold, 2 sell · Most recent Oct 2026
MCD Stock FAQ
What is MCD's stock price target?
The average 12-month analyst price target for MCD is $284.70, with a range of $230.00 to $350.00. That is +17.2% from the current price of $242.97.
Do analysts rate MCD a buy?
Most rate it a buy. Of 63 firms covering McDonald's, the ratings are 36 buy or strong buy, 25 hold and 2 sell or strong sell.
How fast is McDonald's growing?
Annual growth rates for MCD. EPS: 9.6% over 10 years, 13.6% over 5 years, 5.3% over 1 year. Revenue: 0.6% over 10 years, 7.0% over 5 years, 6.3% over 1 year. Free cash flow: 4.3% over 10 years, 9.2% over 5 years, 12.5% over 1 year. Book value per share: -13.3% over 10 years, 15.2% over 5 years, 62.6% over 1 year.
What is MCD's ROIC?
McDonald's' return on invested capital (ROIC) was 17.4% in fiscal 2025. Its 10-year average ROIC is 17.3%. ROIC above 10% is generally a sign of a business with a durable competitive advantage.
What is MCD's P/E ratio?
MCD's current P/E ratio is 19.7, compared with a historical average of 26.0. Trailing earnings per share are $12.35.
What is McDonald's' market cap and stock price?
MCD last traded at $242.97 as of October 19, 2026. Its 52-week range is $229.20 to $341.75. McDonald's has a market cap of $171.94B.
Exhibit D Related Coverage
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Data as of October 19, 2026. Findings are derived from historical fundamentals — not a forecast, not advice. Cross-examine before you invest.
Grades are produced by Ticker INVESTigator's own model from public financial data and are for informational and educational purposes only. They are not investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research.