O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. (ORLY) Stock Analysis
Over the past 10 years, O'Reilly Automotive (ORLY) earnings per share (EPS) grew 16.6% a year, revenue grew 8.4% a year and free cash flow grew 5.5% a year, with an average return on invested capital (ROIC) of 32.7%. ORLY stock trades at $89.02, a P/E of 28.1, above its historical average of 25.0. Analysts' average 12-month price target is $106.09 (+19.2%).
O'Reilly Automotive, Inc., along with its subsidiary companies, functions as a leading retail and wholesale provider of automotive aftermarket products, specialized tools, supplies, and accessories across the United States.
Exhibit A Growth Dossier
| Metric | 10yr | 5yr | 1yr | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Book Value/Share GrowthBV/S Still negative | -16.6% | -155.3% | -54.9% | F |
| EPS GrowthEPS | 16.6% | 12.6% | 13.2% | A- |
| Revenue GrowthRevenue | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.5% | B |
| Cash Flow GrowthCash Flow | 5.5% | -7.6% | 21.7% | C+ |
| ROICROIC | 32.7% | 36.5% | 33.1% | A+ |
Exhibit B Valuation Ledger
- Current EPS
- $3.17
- Historical Avg P/E
- 25.0
- Future P/E (used for sticker price)
- Projected EPS (10yr)
- Sticker Price (10yr)
- Price for 15% Annual Return
- Expected Annual Return
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Not investment advice — a structured read of historical fundamentals, not a forecast or recommendation. Always do your own research.
Exhibit C Raw Data (last 10 years)
| Metric | Trend | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | TTM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Book Value / ShareBV/S | $1.35 | $1.18 | $0.51 | $0.30 | $0.36 | $0.13 | -$0.07 | -$1.14 | -$2.00 | -$1.56 | -$0.89 | -$2.21 | |
| Basic EPSEPS | $0.64 | $0.75 | $0.89 | $1.13 | $1.25 | $1.65 | $2.18 | $2.34 | $2.69 | $2.71 | $2.98 | $3.17 | |
| RevenueRevenue | $7,966,674,000 | $8,593,096,000 | $8,977,726,000 | $9,536,428,000 | $10,149,985,000 | $11,604,493,000 | $13,327,563,000 | $14,409,860,000 | $15,812,250,000 | $16,708,479,000 | $17,781,992,000 | $18,572,562,000 | |
| Free Cash FlowCash Flow | $931,468,000 | $1,034,369,000 | $937,747,000 | $1,223,287,000 | $1,080,422,000 | $2,371,024,000 | $2,764,457,000 | $2,584,908,000 | $2,027,820,000 | $2,026,189,000 | $1,593,178,000 | $2,156,259,000 | |
| ROIC (%)ROIC | 26.9% | 28.3% | 30.4% | 34.7% | 22.8% | 28.1% | 36.9% | 38.8% | 37.7% | 36.3% | 33.1% | — |
The exact underlying data used to compute the growth rates and grades above. The highlighted TTM column is the trailing twelve months through the most recently reported quarter.
Ticker INVESTigator Price Target
Analyst Data
Price Target
Where the stock trades today vs. the range of 12-month price targets from covering analysts.
47 firms rate it — 28 buy, 18 hold, 1 sell · Most recent Sep 2026
ORLY Stock FAQ
What is ORLY's stock price target?
The average 12-month analyst price target for ORLY is $106.09, with a range of $94.00 to $115.00. That is +19.2% from the current price of $89.02.
Do analysts rate ORLY a buy?
Most rate it a buy. Of 47 firms covering O'Reilly Automotive, the ratings are 28 buy or strong buy, 18 hold and 1 sell or strong sell.
How fast is O'Reilly Automotive growing?
Annual growth rates for ORLY. EPS: 16.6% over 10 years, 12.6% over 5 years, 13.2% over 1 year. Revenue: 8.4% over 10 years, 8.9% over 5 years, 8.5% over 1 year. Free cash flow: 5.5% over 10 years, -7.6% over 5 years, 21.7% over 1 year. Book value per share: -16.6% over 10 years, -155.3% over 5 years, -54.9% over 1 year.
What is ORLY's ROIC?
O'Reilly Automotive's return on invested capital (ROIC) was 33.1% in fiscal 2025. Its 10-year average ROIC is 32.7%. ROIC above 10% is generally a sign of a business with a durable competitive advantage.
What is ORLY's P/E ratio?
ORLY's current P/E ratio is 28.1, compared with a historical average of 25.0. Trailing earnings per share are $3.17.
What is O'Reilly Automotive's market cap and stock price?
ORLY last traded at $89.02 as of October 19, 2026. Its 52-week range is $82.59 to $102.46. O'Reilly Automotive has a market cap of $72.01B.
Exhibit D Related Coverage
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Data as of October 19, 2026. Findings are derived from historical fundamentals — not a forecast, not advice. Cross-examine before you invest.
Grades are produced by Ticker INVESTigator's own model from public financial data and are for informational and educational purposes only. They are not investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research.